I promised to explain a comment, on the trope that “Quantity has a quality all its own” I said, “Bzzzzt. Wrong answer”.
I’ve heard it intoned tendentiously all my life, as if it’s a truism. So when exactly did quantity defeat quality?
The entire run of the Roman Empire was quality kicking the shit out of quantity. 5,000 Romans turn 25,000 German barbarians into hamburger, Film at eleven. When they lost, it was to quality (Etruscans, Hannibal/Carthage) or they didn’t use their quality (Varus losing in the German Teutoberger Forest, three legions strung out as if they were marching from Rome to Ostia.) Then they fell because they lost their quality, their ranks were filled with barbarians, not Romans, proud and true.
The British Empire was a long streak of quality beating quantity. Rorke’s Drift, anyone? The Brits, small island, conquered India, gigantic sub-continent, using quality. They gave up their quality.
The Tet Offensive was quantity going after quality. It was a huge defeat for the Viet Cong until Walter Cronkite pulled their chestnuts out of the fire.
And if you look at all those examples, their enemies had similar weapons tech. Even the Indians had guns. But superior training and coordination win every time.
So where are we now? Some people use crappy, commie Russian stuff. Some people use superior US/Japanese/Taiwanese/Israeli tech.
So what happens when crappy commie meets superior? I can’t find the article, but something like 2 Abrams were ambushed by at least 20 Iraqi-manned Russian T-whatever tanks and the 2 Abrams kicked their asses. I think someone scratched an Abrams.
Our planes from like 2 generations ago, the F-15, are still some of the best warplanes in the world. Our F-18s can shoot you down before you even see them. Our subs are quiet, quiet, quiet. Our missile defenses are excellent, radar controlled mini-gun anti-missile defenses on our ships are freaking awesome. They’ll be going up against crap Russia designed more than 20 years ago (and were outgunned even then), sold to the Chinese, whose workers know better than to do a great job (their boss will take the credit and send them to do census work in the Uighur’s province in case they decide to try to take credit), so…
Iit’s shit systems taken care of by shit workers used by shit soldiers who don’t get trained going against state-of-the-art stuff manned by people who have about 1,000 times as much time in their systems as their enemies.
It won’t be bloodless, but it’ll be brutally lopsided if China goes after Japan. Especially since it’s a naval war where tech is even more important. Although the idea of China invading Japan is a little brutally hilarious. Guys in schoolgirls outfits and girls in anime outfits kamikaziing on Chinese tanks.
Now, a hope.
“If it did hit…it would be about equivalent to a 2- to 3-megaton nuclear weapon,” Betts says. “So about 200 times the Hiroshima blast in terms of energy released.”
But it’s not going to. He thinks. But if it did, and he’s not saying it will, make sure you head for a high mountain and bring lots of food. Totally unrelatedly, he’s taking his wife to Pike’s Peak for a cooking seminar on Valentine’s Day. More
Betts says he thinks DA14 probably isn’t one of the more dangerous, metallic asteroids
Betts estimates that …2012 DA14 strikes Earth,….. “That could be tomorrow…” he says.